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India to Permit 1 Million Tons of Sugar Exports Amid Production Shortfall

In a surprising move, the Indian government has announced plans to allow the export of 1 million metric tons of sugar for the current season. This decision comes despite an anticipated production shortfall, marking the first time in eight years that domestic output is expected to fall below consumption levels.

Production Decline in Key States

Major sugar-producing states—Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Uttar Pradesh—have reported lower cane yields this season. Consequently, the estimated sugar output for the 2024-25 season has decreased to approximately 27 million tons, down from 32 million tons in the previous year. This figure falls short of the nation’s annual consumption, which exceeds 29 million tons.

Balancing Domestic Needs and Export Opportunities

Despite the reduced production, the government aims to alleviate local stock surplus and stabilize domestic prices through controlled exports. The limited export volume is also intended to support local sugar mills facing low prices. The Indian Sugar and Bio-energy Manufacturers Association has welcomed the decision, viewing it as beneficial for the industry, especially with strong production expected in the coming year.

Global Market Implications

India’s decision to permit sugar exports is poised to influence global sugar markets, potentially affecting international prices and trade dynamics. As one of the world’s largest sugar producers, India’s export policies are closely monitored by global stakeholders.

Conclusion

The authorization of sugar exports amid a production shortfall reflects the government’s strategic approach to managing domestic supply and demand while supporting the sugar industry’s economic health. Stakeholders will be observing how this decision impacts both the domestic market and international trade in the coming months. 

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